Obama won 52% of the vote in this district in 2008.

ORIGINAL COMMENT: This big mostly rural district is closely divided. Bush won 51% of the vote in 2004.

McHugh has won by large margins since his first election in 1992.

He was born in 1948 and is Catholic.

Annie would go quietly into a crate but Angus was absolutely violent when he had to go to the vet. He was big and strong and that was really a chore.

UPDATED OCTOBER 14, 2008:  In 2006 incumbent Republican Thomas Feeney's victory margin declined to 58%,  a danger sign, and the Democrats have poured resources into this race.  This is only a marginal Republican seat and the Democrats have a good chance this year.  Watch this seat for a Democratic gain.

ORIGINAL COMMENT:  This district has a growing Democratic presence because of demographic change. Bush won 55% of the vote here in 2004.

Feeney has been easily elected in this this new district. He won over 60% of the vote in his first election in 2002 , was unopposed in 2004, but fell to 58% in 2006.

He was born in 1958 and is Presbyterian.

UPDATED OCTOBER 15, 2008: There must be something in the water in Central Florida. On October 13, 2008, ABC News reported that Mahoney had agreed to a $121,000 payment to a former mistress who worked on his staff and
was threatening to sue him. You well remember, gentle readers, that Mahoney suceeded Mark Foley (R) who had his own sex scandal. The GOP may well pick up this seat.

UPDATED COLUMBUS DAY, 2008: Although this is a district that leans Republican, the Democrats should hold it in 2008 because of incumbent Tim Mahoney and the flagging McCain camaign in Florida. The Dems grabbed this seat in 2006 because of the Mark Foley pederast scandal.

UPDATED AFTER 2006 ELECTIONS: The Democrats picked up this seat by about 1% of the vote following the Mark Foley fiasco a few weeks before the election. Tim Mahoney (D) was the winner.

Mahoney was born in 1956 and is United Methodist.


UPDATE: This is the district of the latest pederast to be rooted out of Congress, the un-lamented Mark Foley. This could be the straw that breaks the camel's back and ensures that the Democrats win control of the House.

This is more marginal territory in southern Florida where Bush won 54% of the vote in 2004.

Mark Foley first won in 1994 but has won easily in all his elections. He was born in 1954 and is Catholic.

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ORIGINAL COMMENT: Bush won 57% of this Space Coast district in 2004. It is starting to gain some Democratic strength as the democraphics change.

Incumbent Republican David Weldon first won in 1994 and had a couple of close races in the 1990's. After reapportionment, he has had no problems winning in 2004 with 65% of the vote.

He was born in 1953 and is Christian.

UPDATED COLUMBUS DAY, 2008: Incumbent GOP congressman Ric Keller is in big trouble in this district. In addition to the the growing Democratic strength here, the collapse of the McCain campaign in Florida should hand this district to the Donkeys.

PREVIOUS COMMENT:  The Democrats are gathering strength in this district. Bush won 55% of the vote here in 2004.

Incumbent Republican Ric Keller won his first race in 2000 with just 51% of the vote, but has been easlily elected since.

He was born in 1964 and is Methodist.

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