Well, he's been moderating his positions since the nurses and teachers kicked his ass in the special election last fall, and his ratings are creeping back up. The economy in California is improving, but the budget remains in worse crisis than when Davis left office. He will benefit from a very intense primary campaign between Westly and Angelides. So I give him a 50-50 chance of re-election. He's going to have to convince centrist Democrats that he's really a centrist, and his partisanship for the Republican agenda has undermined him so far.
