Obama Signs $787 Billion Economic Stimulus Bill
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Certainly a very significant event. Of course, the problem has been that it hasn't really been all that effective. Why is the question we should be asking. After all, other countries like China have made similar strategic investments in their economy and are now reaping huge benefits, all despite a slowdown in global trade. China grew 7.1 percent last quarter alone. India? They've grown 8 percent. Brazil? Their unemployment levels are plummeting and their economy is also growing rapidly. In fact, they're one of the largest creditors in the world to the United States. Just a few years ago, they were a debtor nation.
So as we can see, not everyone is doing badly out there. Yet the US, UK, and Europe are all mired in double digit unemployment and negative growth rates, despite aggressive stimulus packages and bank bailout programs. What's the difference between these nations?
The answer is DEBT. It is weighing down our ability to recover. Instead of cash being invested in productive ventures, it is being used to shore up failed banks and industries. That's like printing up money and throwing it into a black hole. And to top it off, we're putting ourselves even more in debt in the process. The interest on the debt alone is rapidly becoming a huge burden. The Federal Reserve produces what essentially is a cash flow statement for the country each quarter, and the results are disheartening. We have $6.8 trillion in Treasury debt, $8.2 trillion in government agency debt, $2.7 trillion in municipal debt, $11.6 trillion of corporate debt, $14.6 trillion in mortgage debt, $2.5 trillion in consumer debt, plus $6.5 trillion in other debts. That totals up to $52.9 trillion total in debt! And that doesn't include our future obligations to Social Security, Medicare, and pensions that exceed $60 trillion. And you also have our banks, which hold derivative obligations in excess of $200 trillion. These are ticking time bombs; globally there are over $600 trillion. Western Europe in particular bought up this junk, and it is one of the reasons why their credit system is stuck in neutral. As long as these debts are their books, they can't extend credit. Citizens in Western Europe and the US have huge amounts of consumer debts, local governments, now cash strapped, are raising taxes and cutting essential services, corporations are defaulting on their debts in record numbers, Washington is having a hard time dealing with the new fiscal realities.
Meanwhile countries like India and China have huge cash reserves, very little to no debt and rapidly growing populations. There is a massive debt discrepancy between these groupings of nations. In a nutshell, our economic policies are failing, while those of China, India and Brazil are succeeding. China invested 13.9% of it's GDP in a stimulus program, while we invested 5.1% of our GDP, but the results are decidedly different.
More important than the sheer size of the stimulus is how it's being pursued. Here in the United States, the stimulus is being financed by debt, despite the fact that our national debt as a percent of GDP is higher than China, India, and Brazil's combined. As opposed, China's stimulus package is being financed by surplus cash, which continue to grow despite the massive stimulus outlays so far.
The Obama Administration is planning on spending it's stimulus cash in one year and is unlikely to have the political and economic capital to come back for more stimulus money. In contrast, China is spreading it's stimulus monies out over 3 years and if needed, they can renew the spending for a few more years. These are solid capital investments that they're making. Roads, bridges, dams and other infrastructure critical to economic development are in the works in China. Meanwhile, here in the US, about 2/3rd's of the stimulus went to political pork barrel spending, the other third went to infrastructure. This was money wasted, and now we won't have enough to make the investments that are needed.
We are so far behind the ball on so many issues, it's painful to watch. A countries productive energies are being wasted by foolhardy economic policies. People are starting to get it, but I fear it's already too late.