Dream on.

Appointed the first female Supreme Court Justice, the first black Secretary of State. It was a republican (Abe Lincoln) who freed the slaves and pushed for the abolishment of slavery. I don't know, I don't see many blacks moving up the hierarchy of the democrat party anymore, other than Sen. Obama. A black republican could, at least, run credibly on a strong record of defense.

The numbers aren't there to support such an assertion, as African-Americans tend to vote overwhelmingly Democratic. But remember that Condoleeza Rice is fourth in the Presidential succession now. There are enough Republican office holders and candidates out there that could be Presidential material.

Absolutely. Like it or not, Republicans are more united when it comes to support in a general election.

I'm almost certain that the first black president will be a Republican. Because blacks vote in overwhelming numbers for Democrats (85-90%), a black Democrat would likely not do any better in a nationwide election than white Democrat, and a Democrat has not won a majority (50% + 1 vote) since 1976 (bearly, Carter got 50.06%). Studies show that if Republicans were to gain 25% of the black vote consistantly, Democrats would never win a nationwide election. Therefore, if Republicans could peel away an additional 15% of the black vote, you get a Republican landslide. A black Republican would not even need to win the overall black vote to win the election. But a black Democrat would need to peel away conservative-leaning independents, and since most prominant black Democrats are far more liberal than America as a whole, forget about that happening.